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Pulse Of The City

AUGUST 2024 MARKET UPDATE

Have You Ever Wondered What Warren Buffett Can Teach You About Real Estate Negotiations?

As the vibrant summer season unfolds in Calgary, the real estate market is showing intriguing shifts that could influence your decision to buy or sell.

Has the Calgary market cooled down with the summer heat? Let's find out together!

Market Performance

It's a fascinating time for the housing market. This month, we've seen 2,380 homes find their new owners, and 3,604 new listings popped up, signaling a market that's lively yet starting to balance out.

As we sip on our iced teas and lemonades, let’s explore together how the market’s moving away from the intense seller's frenzy of spring towards more stable ground. With a sales-to-new listings ratio cooling to 66% and total inventory finally breaching the 4,000 mark for the first time in nearly two years, it’s a scene that’s getting juicier than a July watermelon.

Speaking of juicy, while we’re soaking in the summer rays, there’s news in the Real Estate Market that started this August I’d like to share with you, so stay tuned as we go into how this could stir your plans, whether you’re looking to buy your first home or considering an upgrade.

Starting August 1st, Canada has decided to stretch the maximum amortization period for insured mortgages up to 30 years for first-time homebuyers. It's like choosing a longer scenic route on your road trip: your monthly payments get lower, making it easier to climb aboard the homeownership train.

But here’s the kicker: while your monthly outlay shrinks, the total interest you pay over the life of the loan grows. Imagine this: on a $600,000 mortgage at a 4% interest rate, dropping from a 25-year to a 30-year amortization cuts your monthly bill by $281, but you’ll end up paying an extra $88,678 in interest. It's a trade-off—more cash in your pocket each month, yet more paid out in the long run.

And there’s more. This shift isn't just about numbers; it's about accessibility. For many, the dream of homeownership has felt just out of reach, pinned down by steep monthly payments. Now, with these longer amortization periods, that dream edges a bit closer to reality. It’s a breath of fresh air for potential first-time buyers who are balancing their dreams of a home with the practicalities of their wallets. Yet, it’s crucial to weigh these options carefully—lower payments now could mean more financial strain in the future.

Sector-Specific Analysis

And speaking of trade-offs, how do these financial shifts play out in different corners of our housing market? Let’s zoom into the specifics. Whether you're eyeing a cozy semi-detached, a sprawling detached, or a sleek condo, understanding these nuances can make all the difference in your buying decisions. Ready to dive deeper into how each sector is responding to our evolving market landscape? Let’s get the lay of the land.

Diving into Calgary's diverse housing market, let's start with detached homes. They're the stalwarts of suburbia, and this month, they've shown a peculiar mix of stability and subtle shifts. While sales have dipped by 8%, the unadjusted benchmark price for a detached home holds strong at $767,800. It’s a clear indicator that quality and space still command a premium, even as the market cools slightly.

Switching gears to semi-detached homes, these gems offer a sweet spot for many. Sales are gently tapering off, but don't let that fool you. With prices up by 12% from last year, reaching $687,900, it’s evident that these homes are more than just a compromise; they're a coveted choice for those balancing budget with the desire for a bit of yard and privacy.

Now, let’s talk about row houses. Here’s where the market feels a bit more dynamic. More listings have popped up, increasing buyer choices and cooling off the frantic pace of sales we’ve seen in recent months. The benchmark price for row houses stands at $464,200, a healthy 15% climb from last year. This sector is becoming a hotbed for those looking for value without venturing too far from main centers.

And lastly, the condo scene—always a rollercoaster in urban markets. Condos have faced a dip in sales, particularly at the lower price points, constrained by limited availability. Yet, the overall benchmark has risen to $346,300, showing a robust 17% year-over-year increase. It seems the appetite for affordable, hassle-free living isn’t waning, just becoming more selective.

As we've seen, the landscape of Calgary's real estate market isn't just one-dimensional. Each sector tells a unique story, reflecting the diverse needs and dreams of our community. But what about the wider area? Let’s expand our view and explore how these trends are playing out across different regions. From the bustling streets of Airdrie to the tranquil paths of Okotoks, each area has its own rhythm and rhyme in this complex market melody. Ready to take a tour? Let’s go regional.

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Regional Market Insights

Zooming out from Calgary's core to the surrounding communities gives us a richer blend of market trends. Let's start with Airdrie. This area is experiencing a fascinating surge in activity. With record-breaking listings hitting 287 this July, buyers are enjoying more options than ever. Despite the increase in inventory, sales have dipped slightly to 186 units, suggesting a market that’s balancing out, giving buyers a bit more leverage and breathing room.

Cochrane tells a slightly different story. It remains a tight seller’s market, where demand continues to outpace supply. Sales are up, and listings have also seen a rise, but with a sales-to-new listings ratio of 83%, properties don't sit long. The benchmark price here has nudged up to $576,600—a modest climb that indicates steady interest in this family-friendly locale.

Then there’s Okotoks, where the market is showing signs of softening. A pullback in sales relative to the increase in listings has allowed for a slight uptick in inventory levels, offering more negotiating power to buyers. The benchmark price in Okotoks is still climbing, reaching $622,200, more than 6% higher than last year, showcasing that despite a more buyer-friendly environment, the area retains its appeal.

Across these regions, we see a spectrum of dynamics shaping the choices available to you, whether you’re buying or selling. Each area offers unique opportunities and challenges, reflecting the diverse aspirations of its residents. As we wrap up our regional tour, let’s pull these insights together and reflect on what they mean for your real estate goals. Whether you're contemplating dipping your toes into the market or preparing to dive in deep, understanding these nuances can empower your decisions. Let's conclude with some key takeaways and practical advice to navigate this landscape effectively.

As we’ve journeyed through the vibrant landscapes of Calgary’s real estate market—from the bustling communities of Airdrie and Cochrane to the tranquil streets of Okotoks—we’ve uncovered a mosaic of market conditions. It’s clear that whether you're looking to buy your first home, considering an upgrade, or planning to sell, the market is as dynamic as ever.

This month, we've seen everything from increased listings in Airdrie providing more choices for buyers, to the persistent seller’s advantage in Cochrane, and a softening yet appealing market in Okotoks. These varying conditions underscore the importance of tailored strategies for buyers and sellers alike.

Navigating this market means staying informed, understanding regional nuances, and aligning your real estate decisions with both current trends and long-term objectives. Remember, the right time to buy or sell isn't dictated by the market alone—it's also about when it's right for you.

Now that we’ve navigated the highs and lows of the current market, it’s clear that timing and strategy are more important than ever. But beyond just knowing when to act, how you engage in negotiations can make all the difference. Whether you’re buying, selling, or just testing the waters, the art of negotiation is a skill that can tip the scales in your favor. And speaking of tipping the scales, I want to share with you a powerful technique that might just give you the upper hand in your next deal.

Use the Power of Silence: After you’ve made your offer or asked that crucial negotiation question, resist the urge to fill the silence. It might feel awkward, but letting that silence linger can be one of the most effective tools in your negotiation arsenal. Why? Because many people are uncomfortable with silence—they feel compelled to fill it, often revealing more than they intended or making unexpected concessions. So, the next time you’re in the negotiation hot seat, remember: sometimes the most powerful thing you can say is nothing at all.

Now that you’ve got a powerful new tool in your negotiation toolkit, let’s see how it plays out in the real world. Sometimes, the simplest strategies can yield the most profound results, especially when it comes to high-stakes negotiations. To illustrate this, let’s turn to a story from one of the world’s most renowned negotiators—a tale that perfectly encapsulates the power of silence in action.

Warren Buffett, known for his folksy charm and shrewd business acumen, isn't just a wizard of Omaha but also a maestro of the mute button in negotiations. Picture this: It's the late 1980s, and Buffett's company, Berkshire Hathaway, has set its sights on acquiring a stake in Capital Cities Communications, which was planning to purchase ABC.

The boardroom was set, the stakes were high, and the atmosphere was thick with anticipation. As discussions progressed, Buffett, ever the observer, listened intently, his fingers tented, his gaze sharp. When it came time to throw his offer into the ring—a proposal that was fair but on the lower end of expectations—Buffett laid it out with the simplicity and straightforwardness he’s known for.

Then came the twist—silence. Not just a pause, but a profound silence that stretched into time. As the seconds ticked by, the executives on the other side of the table shifted uncomfortably in their seats, exchanged nervous glances, and fiddled with their pens. The tension was palpable. In those moments of quiet, the room's atmosphere shifted from confident anticipation to subtle doubt.

You see, in his silence, Buffett was playing a symphony. Each tick of the clock strummed a chord of urgency, each shift in the chair a note of hesitation from the other side. The power of the pause put the pressure squarely on ABC's team. Was the offer too low, or just a reflection of the true value they failed to see?

As the silence stretched, it seemed to draw out fears and insecurities, leading to a surprising twist: ABC's representatives started discussing among themselves, slightly louder than they intended, revealing more about their position than they realized. They were more eager to close the deal than they wanted to show.

Buffett’s silent gambit paid off. The other party, feeling the unspoken pressure, decided to meet halfway, leading to a deal favorable to both sides but masterfully orchestrated to lean a bit more towards Berkshire’s end.

In the world of high-stakes negotiations, sometimes the loudest statement is the one unspoken. And as Buffett later said, with a twinkle in his eye, "The less said, the more heard."

Just like Warren Buffett demonstrated in that high-stakes boardroom, the power of silence can be your secret weapon in negotiations. Whether you’re sealing a major deal or making an offer on your next home, remember that sometimes the most persuasive thing you can say is nothing at all. Silence creates space, allowing the other party to reveal more than they intended—often leading to surprising advantages in your favor.

Now that you understand how a simple pause can shift the balance in your favor during negotiations, it’s important to remember that success in real estate involves much more than just knowing when to stay silent. It’s about having the right strategy, insights, and guidance every step of the way. Whether you’re navigating the complexities of buying your first home, selling a property, or exploring investment opportunities, having a trusted partner by your side can make all the difference.

And that’s where I come in. If you're pondering over market charts or dreaming about your next home, why go it alone? Let’s discuss how these insights apply specifically to you. Whether you’re gearing up to make a move now or just planning for the future, a personalized consultation can pave the way for informed decisions and successful outcomes. Ready to turn these insights into action? Let’s make it happen together!

Alright, everyone, if this whirlwind tour through Calgary’s real estate market has sparked your curiosity or if you’re ready to take action, don’t hesitate to reach out. 

Schedule a personal consultation with me, you can head over to planwithmike.ca or reach out directly to (403)809-9386. Whether you’re looking to navigate this market for buying, selling, or just exploring your options, I’m here to guide you with personalized advice tailored to your unique circumstances and goals.

Remember, in real estate, timing and knowledge are everything. Together, we can craft a strategy that not only meets your needs but also anticipates the market’s next moves. So, let’s connect, strategize, and make your real estate dreams a reality. Reach out today, and let’s start this journey together.

Silently waiting for your next move 🙂

Mike Abou Daher
Realtor®
Real Broker
team@mikeaboudaher.com
(587) 333-6400 - Work
(403) 809-9386 - Mobile

COPYRIGHT © 2020. CREATED BY MIKE ABOU DAHER.

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